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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
2 - 2
New Saints

Falingo (63'), Davies (71')
Davies (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Robles (37'), Clark (83')
Holland (45+1'), Hudson (45+1'), (90+1')
Holland (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawThe New Saints
14.96%19.08%65.96%
Both teams to score 54.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13%38.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82%61.18%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32%38.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58%75.43%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02%10.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.75%35.25%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 14.96%
    The New Saints 65.95%
    Draw 19.08%
Aberystwyth TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 4.23%
1-0 @ 4.04%
2-0 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.48%
3-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.96%
1-1 @ 8.91%
2-2 @ 4.68%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.08%
0-2 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.39%
0-3 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 7.25%
0-4 @ 4.21%
1-4 @ 4%
2-3 @ 3.44%
2-4 @ 1.9%
0-5 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 65.95%


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