Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.