Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 6.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.67%) and 1-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.