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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 at 12.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 1
New Saints


Horan (25'), Disney (49'), Mullan (59')
Horan (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McManus (58' pen.)
Davies (18'), Cieslewicz (81'), McManus (82'), Robles (86')
Davies (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
21.36%23.06%55.57%
Both teams to score 53.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72%46.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43%68.57%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16%35.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38%72.62%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51%16.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.78%46.22%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 21.36%
    The New Saints 55.57%
    Draw 23.06%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 6.07%
2-1 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.11%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 9.6%
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.77%
2-3 @ 3.04%
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.6%
2-4 @ 1.37%
1-5 @ 0.96%
0-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 55.57%

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