Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.
