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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
FC Bayern Campus Platz 1

Bayern Munich
3 - 0
Valerenga

Mosegaard-Harder (10'), Gwinn (17' pen.), Zadrazil (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tennebo (40'), Thomsen (66')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Bayern Munich Women and Valerenga Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, October 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Valerenga Women win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich Women would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich WomenDrawValerenga Women
54.01% (-2.843 -2.84) 23.06% (0.757 0.76) 22.93% (2.086 2.09)
Both teams to score 55.72% (0.415 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.838 -0.84)44.44% (0.839 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.818 -0.82)66.81% (0.818 0.82)
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-1.259 -1.26)16.38% (1.259 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-2.326 -2.33)46.02% (2.326 2.33)
Valerenga Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (1.48 1.48)33.36% (-1.479 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (1.591 1.59)69.98% (-1.592 -1.59)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich Women 54.01%
    Valerenga Women 22.93%
    Draw 23.05%
Bayern Munich WomenDrawValerenga Women
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.458 -0.46)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.526 -0.53)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.27 -0.27)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.357 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6% (0.444 0.44)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.425 0.43)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.365 0.37)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.235 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 22.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, October 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 5-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, October 9 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-2 PSG
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, January 24 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Valerenga 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, October 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Valerenga 3-0 Anderlecht
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-2 Valerenga
Wednesday, September 18 at 6.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Valerenga 3-1 Farul Constanta
Saturday, September 7 at 1pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Valerenga 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 18 at 6.30pm in Women's Champions League


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