SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for FC Twente Women had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Twente Women win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente Women | Draw | Real Madrid Femenino |
27.65% ( -0.03) | 22.66% ( -0) | 49.69% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.01) | 38.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.53% ( -0.01) | 60.47% ( 0.01) |
| FC Twente Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.03) | 26.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( -0.03) | 61.45% ( 0.03) |
| Real Madrid Femenino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 0.01) | 15.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( 0.02) | 44.66% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente Women | Draw | Real Madrid Femenino |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.9% 1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 49.69% |
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