SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
27.94% ( 0.02) | 23.43% ( 0.02) | 48.63% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.09) | 41.6% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% ( -0.08) | 64% ( 0.08) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -0.03) | 27.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( -0.03) | 63.47% ( 0.02) |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( -0.05) | 17.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( -0.09) | 47.65% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
| 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.94% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.96% Total : 48.63% |
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