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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Ciudad Real Madrid

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Chelsea Women

Weir (36')
del Castillo (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (59' og.)
Carter (63'), James (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Real Madrid Femenino 1-1 Chelsea Women

Although Real Madrid lost when the two sides met at Kingsmeadow, they have only lost one of their eight home games in all competitions this season, and we think that they will be able to hold Chelsea to a draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 11.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 1-0 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawChelsea Women
11.11% (0.011999999999999 0.01) 17.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 71.61% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.3% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)39.93% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)62.29% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)81.17% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.14% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)9.86% (0.014099999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.3% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)32.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Femenino 11.11%
    Chelsea Women 71.59%
    Draw 17.28%
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 3.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-0 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 11.11%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.28%
0-2 @ 11.98%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 9.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 5.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-6 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 71.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 PSG
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, October 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-2 Real Madrid
Wednesday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 Barcelona
Tuesday, March 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-2 PSG
Thursday, November 18 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-8 Chelsea Women
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, November 6 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 8-0 Vllaznia
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Women's Champions League


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