SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 89.17%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 2.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 4-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.74%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 0-1 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
89.17% ( 0.04) | 7.87% ( -0.03) | 2.96% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.34% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.09% ( 0.08) | 26.91% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.11) | 47.38% ( -0.11) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.28% ( 0.02) | 3.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.03% ( 0.06) | 15.97% ( -0.06) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.82% | 60.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.26% ( 0) | 90.74% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 3-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)7-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 89.15% | 1-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 7.87% | 0-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 2.96% |
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