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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin

PSG
0 - 1
Chelsea Women


Ilestedt (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bright (27')
Buchanan (16')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: PSG 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-2 Chelsea Women

Chelsea have recovered from defeat to Liverpool on the opening day of the season to win three consecutive games, and we think that the WSL champions will extend their unbeaten run by holding PSG to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 38.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawChelsea Women
38.59% (0.213 0.21) 23.34% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 38.06% (-0.25 -0.25)
Both teams to score 64.02% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.159 -0.16)37.57% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-0.169 -0.17)59.8% (0.16 0.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)19.86% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (0.051000000000002 0.05)51.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)20.11% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (-0.3 -0.3)52.37% (0.29 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 38.59%
    Chelsea Women 38.06%
    Draw 23.34%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 38.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Sunday, April 24 at 4pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-2 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, March 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-2 PSG
Tuesday, March 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-2 PSG
Thursday, November 18 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 4-0 Real Madrid
Tuesday, November 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 West Ham
Wednesday, September 28 at 7.05pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Man City Women
Sunday, September 25 at 4pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-2 Man City Women
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-2 Man Utd Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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