Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2022 at 5pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
We said: Austria Women 2-1 Northern Ireland Women
Although Northern Ireland can expect a closer game on Monday than they experienced in their group opener, we think that the higher-ranked Austrian side will edge out the Green and White Army to collect their first win of the tournament.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Women win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Northern Ireland Women had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Northern Ireland Women win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Austria Women | Draw | Northern Ireland Women |
50.54% ( -0.01) | 21.87% ( -0.04) | 27.59% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 65.04% ( 0.2) |
| 65.62% ( 0.24) | 34.39% ( -0.24) |
| 43.7% ( 0.27) | 56.3% ( -0.27) |
| 86.02% ( 0.08) | 13.98% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.52% ( 0.16) | 41.48% ( -0.16) |
| Northern Ireland Women Goals |
| 75.61% ( 0.16) | 24.39% ( -0.16) |
