With so much to play for, we expect Saturday's game to be a cagey contest, but we think Spain have enough quality in their squad to edge out Denmark in the final group game to secure their place in the quarter-finals.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark Women win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
-0.19) 
0.22) 
