Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Norway Women had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.62%) and 1-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Norway Women win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
