SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany Women | 3 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Spain Women | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Denmark Women | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Finland Women | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Women | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Belgium Women | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Iceland Women | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Italy Women | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for France Women had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest France Women win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Germany Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany Women | Draw | France Women |
50.39% ( -0.03) | 20.71% ( 0) | 28.89% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 70.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.02) | 27.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.03) | 48.27% ( -0.02) |
| Germany Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.36% ( 0) | 11.64% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.33% ( -0) | 36.67% ( 0) |
| France Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.03) | 20.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( 0.05) | 52.35% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany Women | Draw | France Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.39% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.9% |
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