Although France are already guaranteed to finish top of Group D, we think that they will continue their winning run against Iceland as they bid to carry momentum into next week's quarter-final.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Iceland Women had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Iceland Women win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
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