It has been a tough month for Arsenal, and Brighton are likely to prove to be a tougher test than Leicester were last week which is why the Seagulls should fancy themselves for a point on Sunday.
The Gunners need to be careful not to become complacent with their league position and gap between themselves and Chelsea, while Brighton will be desperate to put another point on the board before the winter break.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 85.27%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 4.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.8%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
