Despite a number of new additions, the Gunners are a side low on confidence, which leaves them vulnerable against a Man City team that are currently enjoying a positive run of form.
Although we expect the contest to be close, we think the momentum is with the hosts and that Taylor's side will edge out Arsenal to claim the three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
