Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-3 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 2-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.