Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 9.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
