Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Birmingham City Women win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.