Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 82.64%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 5.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.58%) and 4-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
82.64% ( -0.2) | 11.6% ( 0.12) | 5.76% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 45.5% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.71% ( -0.28) | 31.28% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.27% ( -0.33) | 52.72% ( 0.33) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.42% ( -0.09) | 5.58% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.32% ( -0.26) | 21.68% ( 0.26) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.19% ( 0.03) | 51.81% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.12% ( 0.02) | 85.88% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 82.63% | 1-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.62% Total : 11.6% | 0-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 5.76% |
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