Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 80.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Everton Women had a probability of 6.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.46%) and 0-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Everton Women win it was 1-0 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
6.69% ( -0.27) | 13.23% ( -0.9) | 80.07% ( 1.16) |
Both teams to score 44.44% ( 2.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.35% ( 3.48) | 35.64% ( -3.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.3% ( 3.75) | 57.7% ( -3.76) |
Everton Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.77% ( 1.74) | 52.23% ( -1.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.84% ( 1.1) | 86.15% ( -1.1) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.04% ( 1.01) | 6.96% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.5% ( 2.64) | 25.5% ( -2.64) |
Score Analysis |
Everton Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
1-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 6.69% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.59% Total : 13.23% | 0-2 @ 12.9% ( -0.86) 0-3 @ 11.46% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -1.2) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 7.64% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 7.45% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 4.96% ( 0.44) 0-5 @ 4.07% ( 0.36) 1-5 @ 2.65% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.21) 0-6 @ 1.81% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.22) 1-6 @ 1.18% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.84% Total : 80.06% |
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