SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
41.65% ( 2.53) | 24.14% ( 0.66) | 34.2% ( -3.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( -3.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( -3.71) | 42% ( 3.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.59% ( -3.84) | 64.41% ( 3.84) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( -0.42) | 20.35% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( -0.68) | 52.75% ( 0.68) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -3.37) | 24.12% ( 3.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( -5.04) | 58.42% ( 5.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 1.15)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.84)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.92% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.36)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.77)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.58)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.51)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.37)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.2% |
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