SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
77.1% ( -0.39) | 13.92% ( 0.18) | 8.97% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.23) | 29.87% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.96% ( -0.28) | 51.03% ( 0.28) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.7% ( -0.12) | 6.3% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.28% ( -0.33) | 23.72% ( 0.33) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.25) | 42.37% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( 0.22) | 78.75% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% 3-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.27% Total : 77.1% | 1-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 13.92% | 1-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.97% |
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