Sunday's contest is bound to be a tense encounter, and although both teams are in fine form, we think the hosts have that extra little bit of quality that could prove pivotal, which we believe will help Chelsea retain their league title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 12.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester United Women
67.74%	20.16%	12.1%

Both teams to score 43.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02%

49.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04%

71.96%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21%

13.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.89%

41.11%

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.02%

49.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.35%

84.64%

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 67.73%

Manchester United Women 12.1%

Draw 20.16%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester United Women
1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 13.52% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 6.2% 4-0 @ 4.43% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-0 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.37% Total : 67.73%	1-1 @ 9.47% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 3.25% Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.16%	0-1 @ 4.78% 1-2 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.38% Total : 12.1%