Birmingham would have taken confidence from their second league victory of the season, but we think that they will struggle to compete with a Chelsea side who are currently in imperious form as they look to retain their league title.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 93.64%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.34%) and 0-2 (14.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.37%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
