With the biggest ever crowd expected at a Women's FA Cup final, the game is likely to live up to its expectation of being an entertaining affair, which is why Wembley should expect lots of goals. Chelsea will be desperate for revenge after Man City lifted the League Cup in front of them two months ago, and that could give them the edge in extra time this Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
38.71%	24.86%	36.43%

Both teams to score 58.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.97%

45.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.62%

67.38%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92%

23.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08%

56.92%

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71%

24.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34%

58.66%

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 38.71%

Manchester City Women 36.43%

Draw 24.86%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.71%	1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 8.23% 0-1 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.43%