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Women's Super League | Gameweek 13
Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
 

Leicester Women
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Hampton (76' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Purfield (4' og.), Lehmann (90+3')
Hayles (31'), Hampton (77')

We said: Leicester Women 1-0 Aston Villa Women

Aston Villa won the reverse fixture on the opening day of the season, but a lot has changed since then, and they will face a Leicester side on Sunday who have shown signs of improvement under their new manager. Although we think the contest will be close, the momentum is with the Foxes, and we believe that they will edge out the Villains to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawAston Villa Women
33.54%24.98%41.49%
Both teams to score 57.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93%46.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63%68.37%
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.62%
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84%22.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45%55.55%
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 33.54%
    Aston Villa Women 41.49%
    Draw 24.98%
Leicester WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 11.74%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-1 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 4.45%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.67%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.49%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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