Aston Villa won the reverse fixture on the opening day of the season, but a lot has changed since then, and they will face a Leicester side on Sunday who have shown signs of improvement under their new manager.
Although we think the contest will be close, the momentum is with the Foxes, and we believe that they will edge out the Villains to claim all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.
