SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 90.77%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 2.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.25%) and 2-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.18%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
90.77% ( -0.17) | 6.7% ( 0.13) | 2.52% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 39.59% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.44) | 22.83% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.6) | 42.03% ( 0.6) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.11% ( -0.08) | 2.89% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.87% ( -0.3) | 13.13% ( 0.3) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.77% ( -0.1) | 59.23% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.75% ( -0.05) | 90.25% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 3-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)8-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.44% Total : 90.76% | 1-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 6.7% | Other @ 2.52% Total : 2.52% |
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