SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 67.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Reading Women |
67.92% ( 1.17) | 18.43% ( -0.25) | 13.65% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( -0.95) | 38.72% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.97% ( -1.02) | 61.03% ( 1.01) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.55% ( 0.03) | 10.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.95% ( 0.06) | 34.04% ( -0.07) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% ( -1.91) | 40.41% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.97% ( -1.77) | 77.02% ( 1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Reading Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.92% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.43% | 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
