SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 93.47%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.71%) and 2-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.37%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
93.47% ( 0.04) | 4.99% ( -0.03) | 1.53% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 33.75% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.08) | 20.82% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.11) | 39.26% ( -0.11) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.74% ( 0.02) | 2.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 89.19% ( 0.06) | 10.81% ( -0.06) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.05) | 65.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.8% ( -0.02) | 93.2% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 3-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0)2-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 4.09% ( 0)7-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)8-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 4.54% Total : 93.45% | 1-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 4.99% | Other @ 1.53% Total : 1.53% |
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