SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 81.12%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 7.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 1-2 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Crystal Palace Women |
81.12% ( -0.01) | 11.84% ( 0.01) | 7.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.69% ( -0.01) | 26.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.39% ( -0.02) | 46.6% ( 0.02) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.1% ( -0) | 4.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.01) | 19.66% ( 0.01) |
| Crystal Palace Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.92% ( 0) | 44.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.81% ( 0) | 80.18% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Crystal Palace Women |
| 3-0 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.45% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.1% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.49% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.26% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.51% 7-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 4.65% Total : 81.12% | 1-1 @ 5.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.16% Total : 11.84% | 1-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 7.03% |
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