SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
58.9% ( -0.21) | 22.78% ( 0.1) | 18.32% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.87% ( -0.25) | 49.13% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.8% ( -0.22) | 71.2% ( 0.22) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.16) | 16.35% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( -0.28) | 45.95% ( 0.28) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( -0.02) | 40.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( -0.01) | 77.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 58.89% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.32% |
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