SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Women win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Crystal Palace Women |
45.84% ( 0.25) | 23.03% ( -0.12) | 31.12% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 63.22% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( 0.5) | 37.82% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( 0.53) | 60.07% ( -0.53) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( 0.29) | 16.91% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.04% ( 0.51) | 46.96% ( -0.51) |
| Crystal Palace Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( 0.16) | 23.91% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% ( 0.23) | 58.12% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Crystal Palace Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.26% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.12% |
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