SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
72.55% ( 0.06) | 15.09% ( -0.03) | 12.35% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.05) | 25.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.89% ( 0.07) | 45.1% ( -0.07) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.92% ( 0.02) | 6.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.92% ( 0.06) | 23.08% ( -0.07) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( -0.02) | 32.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( -0.02) | 69.56% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.52% 5-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 4.52% Total : 72.55% | 1-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 15.09% | 1-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 12.35% |
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