Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 87.29%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Denmark Women had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 4-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Denmark Women win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
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