Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2023 at 9.30am UK
AAMI Park
We said: Germany Women 3-0 Morocco Women
Germany may have suffered a surprise loss to Zambia in their final warm-up game, but they usually rise to the challenge at major tournaments, and we expect them to begin their World Cup campaign with a comfortable victory over Morocco.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 92.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Morocco Women had a probability of 1.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.52%) and 4-0 (13.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.77%), while for a Morocco Women win it was 0-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany Women would win this match.
Result |
Germany Women | Draw | Morocco Women |
92.22% ( 0.03) | 6.22% ( -0.02) | 1.56% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 26.13% ( -0.06) |
70.35% ( 0.04) | 29.65% ( -0.04) |
49.23% ( 0.05) | 50.77% ( -0.05) |
96.38% ( 0.02) | 3.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.37% ( 0.04) | 15.63% ( -0.04) |
27.11% ( -0.07) | 72.89% ( 0.07) |