Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2023 at 7am UK
Eden Park
FT(HT: 0-0)
Larroquette (12'), Anahi Mayorga (68'), Florencia Bonsegundo (76'), Noemi Stabile (90+6')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 84.08%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Argentina Women had a probability of 4.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.49%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for an Argentina Women win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Italy Women | Draw | Argentina Women |
84.08% ( 0.27) | 11.43% ( -0.18) | 4.49% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 36.45% ( 0) |
| 62.56% ( 0.43) | 37.44% ( -0.44) |
| 40.34% ( 0.46) | 59.66% ( -0.47) |
| 93.49% ( 0.14) | 6.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.71% ( 0.39) | 24.28% ( -0.39) |
| 38.99% ( -0.06) | 61.01% ( 0.06) |
