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Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | USA Women | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Netherlands Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Portugal Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Vietnam Women | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | USA Women | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Netherlands Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Portugal Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Vietnam Women | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Portugal Women had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Portugal Women win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Netherlands Women | Draw | Portugal Women |
72.78% ( 0.5) | 16.1% ( -0.21) | 11.11% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.89% ( 0.22) | 34.11% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.01% ( 0.25) | 55.99% ( -0.25) |
Netherlands Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.87% ( 0.16) | 8.13% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.48% ( 0.41) | 28.52% ( -0.4) |
Portugal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.63% ( -0.34) | 41.37% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.11% ( -0.31) | 77.88% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Netherlands Women | Draw | Portugal Women |
2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.78% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.1% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 11.11% |
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