Canada head into the tournament off the back of a poor run of results that has seen them lose four of their last five games.
However, all four of those defeats took place against nations ranked 11th or higher, and we think that Canada have the experience and extra quality required to edge out Nigeria in Friday's encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Nigeria Women win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.09) 
