SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden Women | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | USA Women | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Australia Women | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | New Zealand Women | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Great Britain Women | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada Women | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Japan Women | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Chile Women | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Canada Women had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Canada Women win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA Women | Draw | Canada Women |
66.23% ( -0.79) | 20.47% ( 0.48) | 13.3% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -1.34) | 48.63% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( -1.23) | 70.75% ( 1.23) |
| USA Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( -0.65) | 13.83% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.82% ( -1.3) | 41.18% ( 1.3) |
| Canada Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.35) | 47.18% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.37% ( -0.27) | 82.62% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA Women | Draw | Canada Women |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.48% Total : 66.21% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.47% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.1% Total : 13.3% |
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