SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Great Britain Women | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada Women | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Japan Women | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Chile Women | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Great Britain Women | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada Women | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Japan Women | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Chile Women | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 69.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Japan Women win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Canada Women | Draw | Japan Women |
69.57% ( 0.13) | 18.66% ( -0.09) | 11.77% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.78% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( 0.27) | 44.45% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( 0.26) | 66.82% ( -0.26) |
| Canada Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.38% ( 0.11) | 11.62% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.37% ( 0.24) | 36.63% ( -0.24) |
| Japan Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.93% ( 0.09) | 47.07% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.46% ( 0.07) | 82.54% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Canada Women | Draw | Japan Women |
| 2-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.4% Total : 69.56% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 18.66% | 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.77% |
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