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Olympic Games Women's Football | Semi-Finals
Aug 2, 2021 at 9am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium
CN

USA Women
0 - 1
Canada Women


O'Hara (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fleming (74' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Canada Women had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Canada Women win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
USA WomenDrawCanada Women
61.13%22.23%16.64%
Both teams to score 48.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5%49.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47%71.53%
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28%15.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19%44.8%
Canada Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.01%42.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72%79.28%
Score Analysis
    USA Women 61.13%
    Canada Women 16.64%
    Draw 22.22%
USA WomenDrawCanada Women
1-0 @ 12.5%
2-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 6.02%
4-0 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.54%
5-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 61.13%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 5.71%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 16.64%

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