Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Canada Women had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Canada Women win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
