Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 84.87%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for an Anguilla win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barbados would win this match.
