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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadyen Dynama
EN

Belarus
4 - 2
Estonia

Lisakovich (45' pen., 84'), Kendysh (64'), Savitskiy (81')
Laptev (4'), Kendysh (18'), Signevich (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Anier (31', 55')
Kuusk (50'), Alliku (59'), Oigus (63'), Anier (85'), Purg (89')
Oigus (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 10.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.61%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belarus would win this match.

Result
BelarusDrawEstonia
69.33%20.65%10.02%
Both teams to score 35.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.44%56.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45%77.55%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59%15.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77%44.23%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.05%57.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.44%89.57%
Score Analysis
    Belarus 69.32%
    Estonia 10.02%
    Draw 20.65%
BelarusDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 16.7%
2-0 @ 15.61%
3-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 5.31%
4-0 @ 4.55%
4-1 @ 2.48%
5-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 69.32%
1-1 @ 9.11%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.65%
0-1 @ 4.87%
1-2 @ 2.49%
0-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 10.02%

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