Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
