Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Bermuda and Aruba.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 58.92%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 20.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.
