Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Cayman Islands had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Cayman Islands win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.