Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for France in this match.
