Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
