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FN
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
UN

France
1 - 1
Ukraine

Griezmann (19')
Pavard (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kimpembe (57' og.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
FranceDrawUkraine
61.48%24.33%14.2%
Both teams to score 37.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.2%60.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.16%80.84%
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28%51.72%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.8%53.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.22%86.78%
Score Analysis
    France 61.47%
    Ukraine 14.2%
    Draw 24.31%
FranceDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 17.03%
2-0 @ 13.82%
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 4.72%
4-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 61.47%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 2.75%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.62%
1-2 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 2.09%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.2%

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